2006年11月17日

金融屋さんが変なことをのたまっているようです

風邪をひいている間にものすごくたまっていたrssリーダーの未読をやっつけていて見つけた面白い話題。

オンラインゲームに必要な金融政策｜Klug クルーク
http://www.gci-klug.jp/klugview/06/11/15/post_2661.php

ざざっと要約すると、
「オンラインゲームにおいて」「ゲーム内世界が成熟するにつれてゲーム内通貨の流通量が増大し」「アイテム価格が上昇する傾向がある」
という事実を追っており、それに対する方策として

そこで考えられるアイデアの１つとして、ゲーム運営会社が参加者に対して、金利収入が得られる債券を発行する方法が考えられます。ゲーム参加者が、金利収入を目的に債券を購入すれば、仮想通貨の流通量が減少しますので、アイテム価格の高騰に歯止めをかける効果が期待されます。これは、現実の世界で、中央銀行が、インフレを抑制するために保有する債券を売り出すこと（売りオペ）と同じ事を意味します。

また、仮想通貨の流通量を抑制するのではなく、ゲーム上のアイテム数を増やす方法も考えられます。アイテム価格は、アイテム数に対する仮想通貨の流通量で決まりますので、仮想通貨の流通量の抑制が難しいのであれば、ゲーム運営会社がアイテム数を増やすことで価格を抑制することが可能となります。これは、国内の生産能力が高まり物価が低下すること、もしくは諸外国からの輸入品が流通することで物価が低下することと同じことです。

オンラインゲームにおける価格高騰の抑制を考えると、現実の社会で考えられるインフレ抑制策と（ほぼ）同じであることに気付きます。当然のことかもしれませんが、オンラインゲームの世界が現実に近づけば近づくほど、仮想通貨の運営方法も現実の金融政策に近づくのでしょう。

という結構面白いことをおっしゃっているわけです。

一般世界の金融政策とあわせて考えているところが面白いのですが、やっぱり一番効くのは戦争もしくは画期的なイノベーションでしょう。
（ありきたりな例で言うと、すっげー強い敵が出てくるとか新大陸が発見されるとかですな。それ以外にもゲーム内ならいくらでも事案は出てきますが割愛）

これらの絶大な効用はリアル歴史で実証済みですが、当然のようにリアルではなかなか狙ったように起こせません。
「いや起こせる」「実は歴史は操られている」と思っている人たちはシオンの議定書とか竹内文書とかいう言葉で頭がいっぱいな陰謀史観の幸せな人たちなのでムーでも読んでていただければよろしいわけでして。

ゲーム内通貨の吸収策としての債券というアイデアも面白いのではありますが、なかなか馴染みづらくて親和のスピードが落ちてしまうような気もします。
マーケティング手法で「認知を広げる」ことはできますが、「染み込むスピード」に関してはユーザの理解度によりますので、もしこの債券というアイデアを現実化するとなるとまず「ユーザ教育」というところから始めねばならないでしょうしね。

さてさて、ここら辺のことを4亀のkazuhisaさまに聞いてみると

素直に，ゲーム内流通貨幣量に応じて「NPCの販売価格」を上げればよいだけだと思うんですが，どうなんでしょうか。＞運営者
1999年（でしたっけ？）にUOのサービスが始まってから，もう7年。
Vesperの街の鍛冶屋のおっさんが，いまだに120goldでlong swordを売ってるほうがおかしい。
土地の値段が上がり続けているように，一般消費財の価格も上げるべきです

とか帰ってきてしまうわけですが、そんなことやったら初心者が干上がるだろうが、と。
＃これ以上のやりとりは具体的すぎるのでやめとくとしてー

翻ってみるに、ゲームならイノベーションや戦争といった、これら歴史的鳴動をいくらでも隆起出来るわけです。
村田雅志さんもう少し頑張れ、といったところでしょうか。誰だかよく知らないのではありますが。
むしろ改鋳とかデノミとかいった方にも思索の方向を伸ばしていっていただければと思ったりしております。
僕も貨幣論とかくらいなら一通り読んでるんだけどもねぇ。

↓村田雅志さんってこんな方らしいです。

追記： 11/17 19:30
面白そうなところ発見。

　小野和俊のブログ:ゲーム脳は社会性を育み、人に人生の厳しさを教える
　　http://blog.livedoor.jp/lalha/archives/50139541.html

　「仮想経済」の世界:仮想と現実の出会い @ 2006年11月 @ ratio - rational - irrational @ IDM
　　http://idm.s9.xrea.com/ratio/2006/11/17/000544.html

稿を改めて書くとして備忘録。

投稿者 KQZ : 2006年11月17日 00:11 | [EDIT]

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